U.S. Treasury bond yields rose in August, with the 10-year Treasury ending the month with a 3.15% yield. Treasury bond yields flattened as well, with the shorter-term 1-year treasury finishing the month at 3.50%, nearly identical to the 20-year treasury yield at 3.53%. Such a dynamic tends to attract bond buyers towards the shorter end of the curve. Economists view a flattening yield curve as indicative of a possible economic slowdown.
In addition to raising short-term rates, the Fed will continue to sell bonds from its balance sheet, indirectly placing pressure on rates to rise.
Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Print Version: Fixed Income Update Sept 2022